The ASI Clock

TechnofluxAI Community Forecast

The ASI Clock

Counting down to the current median forecast: September 2, 2034 at 11:00 AM UTC

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The clock uses the median of all recorded forecasts. It moves as new predictions are added.

Community forecasting experiment. Not a scientific prediction.

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When Will ASI Arrive?

Anyone can view the ASI Clock. To submit a prediction, join the TechnofluxAI email list below. One prediction is allowed per email address.

Closest prediction wins bragging rights. If we add a sponsor prize later, it will use separate published rules rather than changing today's entries after the fact.

Do you think artificial superintelligence will happen?

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Community Prediction

Community Prediction

24 Total forecasts
24 forecasts recorded · 5 submitted through the live form
Median prediction
September 2, 2034 at 11:00 AM UTC
Average prediction
June 11, 2034 at 12:23 PM UTC
Earliest prediction
December 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM UTC
Latest prediction
March 29, 2043 at 6:00 AM UTC
Before 2030 21.7%
2030–2034 34.8%
2035–2039 30.4%
2040+ 13%
95.8% say yes 0% unsure 4.2% say never
Latest Activity

Latest 10 Predictions

A quick look at the newest forecasts. Email addresses are never shown.

Anonymous Reader
Dec 12, 2034
Anonymous Reader
Dec 25, 2032
Anonymous Reader
Nov 23, 2038
TimewasterHicks Reader
Oct 19, 2037 · 8:24 AM
flux fan Reader
Dec 12, 2027 · 11:30 AM
Mary Ann Launch Forecast
Never
Gilligan Launch Forecast
Mar 28, 2043 · 11:00 PM
Herman Munster Launch Forecast
Jun 1, 2041 · 8:00 PM
Eddie Munster Launch Forecast
Nov 12, 2040 · 12:00 AM
Luigi Launch Forecast
Oct 10, 2039 · 10:00 AM
What Is ASI?

Artificial Superintelligence, Explained

Artificial superintelligence, or ASI, is a hypothetical form of AI that would outperform the best human minds across most major intellectual tasks. No one knows if or when it will arrive. The ASI Clock tracks how expectations change over time.

Launch data includes clearly fictional demo forecasts to illustrate the tool while reader predictions build. Community forecasting experiment. Not a scientific prediction.